Cole Anthony entered this season as one of the most ballyhooed freshman in the nation - a consensus top three recruit and son of former NBA player Greg Anthony. He had a nice individual year in his one season in Chapel Hill, averaging a 18.5 PPG / 5.7 RPG / 4.0 APG line, but a disappointing year for the Tar Heels and poor efficiency for Anthony has caused many to sour on his NBA potential.
- Lining up with his reputation, our model graded Anthony at a strong 87/100 as a scorer. His aggressiveness overall (16.2 shot attempts per 36, 85th percentile for guards) and especially his ability to get to the line (6.0 attempts per 36, 73rd percentile for guards) are indicators he'll fill it up at the NBA level too
- He's a great rebounder for a guard. He was graded as only a 41/100, but that put him in 91st percentile for guards.
- He's a willing shooter from three, taking 6.6 per 36 (75th percentile). This potent combination of getting to the line often and attempting a lot of threes is the same recipe made famous and taken to its extreme by James Harden.
- He projects as a serviceable defender. His grade of 33/100 in our model isn't great, but it's in the 54th percentile for guards in our database. His Defensive BPM was 1.3, decent for a guard (51st percentile for guards).
- For such an aggressive shot hunter, especially one with a shot chart with Moreyball influences, Anthony was an extremely inefficient scorer. His ugly shooting splits of 38% / 35% / 75% resulted in a paltry 51% True Shooting (10th percentile for guards)
Anthony is going to put up decent numbers in the league. He'll have nights and highlights where he looks like an All-NBA player. He's too talented and too aggressive not to. His best potential path towards becoming a great player is if he makes a major leap as a shooter. If he can bump his three point percentage from 35% to the 38-42% range and get his free throw percentage closer to 85%, it's possible to envision him having a nice career where he takes a few years to truly blossom, a la Chauncey Billups. If he can't, Anthony will likely be best suited to a microwave scorer role off the bench.
- Our Comp: Austin Rivers
- Suggested Draft Range: Mid to Late First Round
- Immediate Impact: Moderate (high volume, low efficiency scorer)
- Long Term Potential: Moderate (iso scorer and secondary playmaker, 15 PPG / 3 RPG / 3 APG)